Early signals from ECB wage tracker suggest lower and more stable wage pressures in first half of 2026 – www.ecb.europa.eu

17 Set, 2025

www.ecb.europa.eu

17 September 2025

The European Central Bank (ECB) wage tracker, which covers active collective bargaining agreements, indicates negotiated wage growth with smoothed one-off payments of 4.6% in 2024 (based on a coverage of 50.1% of employees in participating countries) and 3.2% in 2025 (based on a coverage of 47.9%). The ECB wage tracker with unsmoothed one-off payments indicates negotiated wage growth of 4.8% in 2024 and 2.9% in 2025. The downward trend of the forward-looking wage tracker partly reflects the mechanical impact of large one-off payments (that were…

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